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College Football Picks - #16 Arkansas at Alabama
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Big Playa
They call me the Big Playa.... You ask why? Because I bring in the BIG Money! 
By Big Playa
Published on 09/15/2007
 

College Football Betting Preview
 #16 Arkansas at Alabama
Saturday, 6:45 pm Eastern – ESPN

Opening Line: Alabama -3, Total 47.5

 

A key SEC battle takes place Saturday night in Tuscaloosa as the Alabama Crimson Tide host the 16th ranked Arkansas Razorbacks.  This will be the first SEC home game for Nick Saban as coach of the Crimson Tide and if last year’s overtime game is any indication, it should be a good one.

 

Last season the Razorbacks and Tide went to overtime before Arkansas won 24-23.  Heisman Trophy candidate Darren McFadden and Felix Jones combined for 177 yards rushing in last year’s game.  This season Arkansas comes into the game at 1-0 after beating Troy two weeks ago.  Arkansas had 350 yards and three TD’s on the ground in that game.  It will be much tougher on Saturday against an Alabama defense that has given up only 133 total rushing yards in two games and no rushing TD’s.

Current Line: Alabama -3.5, Total 47

 

Alabama won their SEC opening game last week on the road at Vanderbilt.

Redshirt freshman running back Terry Grant ran 24 times for 173 yards and two touchdowns. Alabama leads the all-time series 9-8, but Arkansas has won three of the last four meetings.  Razorbacks head coach Houston Nutt is 5-4 all-time against Alabama.  Nick Saban is 3-2 all-time against Arkansas but all of those games were when he was at LSU.

 

Here are the betting statistics for Saturday’s game.  The Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. The Razorbacks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in September. The Razorbacks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The underdog is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings between the two teams and the road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

 

The Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September. The Crimson Tide are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Crimson Tide are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite. The Crimson Tide are 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite.

 

The Under is 4-1 in the Razorbacks last 5 games as a road underdog. The Over is 4-1 in the Crimson Tide’s last 5 games as a home favorite. The

Under is 14-4 in the Crimson Tide’s last 18 vs. a team with a winning record. The Over is 5-2 in the Crimson Tide’s last 7 home games. The Under is 24-10 in Alabama’s last 34 games as a favorite.