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College Football Picks - Florida State at Clemson
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Big Playa
They call me the Big Playa.... You ask why? Because I bring in the BIG Money! 
By Big Playa
Published on 09/3/2007
 

College Football Betting Preview
Florida State
at Clemson
Monday, 8:00 pm Eastern – ESPN

Opening Line: Florida State -3, Total 45

 

Father and son meet again tonight as Bobby Bowden’s Florida State Seminoles take on Tommy Bowden’s Clemson Tigers.  Florida State comes into the season ranked 21st in the country while Clemson is unranked.  The Seminoles are coming off a very disappointing 7-6 season a year ago, going 3-5 in the ACC.  Changes were made at FSU, the most noticeable the removal of Jeff Bowden as offensive coordinator and the introduction of Jimbo Fisher from LSU. 

 

The Seminoles have had quarterback problems for the past few years and those problems could continue as Drew Weatherford is back as the starter.  He has started 23 of FSU's last 26 games, but has been up and down his entire career. "The main thing we were looking for is consistency," Fisher said. "Making more of the every down plays. I thought he made the routine plays more consistently than Xavier did, for the most part, during camp and I think that set him apart."  The Seminoles have a new running back as Lorenzo Booker is gone.  The job is going to Antone Smith who averaged 5.2 yards per carry as a freshman. Greg Carr is the main receiver for Florida State.  He caught 34 passes for 619 yards last season and had 12 touchdowns.

 

Clemson went 8-5 last season and was as high as #10 in the country before collapsing. "I think we lost focus," said running back C.J. Spiller, "If there was one word, it would be more focused on both sides of the ball."  James Davis returns at running back to team with Spiller.  Davis had 1,187 yards and 17 TDs last season.  The Tigers have a new quarterback as Cullen Harper is expected to start at quarterback after spending two seasons as a backup.

Current Line: Florida State -3 (-115), Total 45 (-115)

 

Clemson has won the last two meetings between the teams including a 27-20 win last year.  FSU is 5-3 when Bobby has taken on Tommy.

 

Here is a look at the betting stats for this game.  The Seminoles are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in September. The Seminoles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Seminoles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games. The Seminoles are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite. The Seminoles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Clemson.

 

The Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. The Tigers are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog. The Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September. The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. The Home team is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings between the two teams.

 

The Over is 5-0 in the Seminoles last 5 games as a road favorite. The Over is 8-3 in the Seminoles last 11 games overall. The Over is 5-2 in the Seminoles last 7 conference games. The Under is 5-0 in the Tigers last 5 conference games. The Under is 5-1 in the Tigers last 6 games overall. The Under is 10-4 in the Tigers last 14 games as a home underdog. The Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between the two teams.